Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.604796 0.671001 0.742612 0.826017 0.920726 1.025202 1.149551
2025-08-24 0.503569 0.595282 0.702232 0.836993 1.003423 1.203728 1.465310
2025-08-31 0.438895 0.540807 0.665706 0.831662 1.048817 1.326702 1.714734
2025-09-07 0.396421 0.504908 0.643284 0.835282 1.098843 1.453995 1.979281
2025-09-14 0.357514 0.467860 0.613315 0.822555 1.121646 1.542911 2.197988
2025-09-21 0.327408 0.438740 0.589802 0.814194 1.146825 1.634582 2.428961
2025-09-28 0.294875 0.402969 0.553206 0.782460 1.132923 1.664852 2.566633
2025-10-05 0.281324 0.392444 0.550851 0.799588 1.192609 1.811846 2.908926
2025-10-12 0.268277 0.381334 0.546284 0.812231 1.245586 1.952834 3.259640
2025-10-19 0.254854 0.368460 0.537744 0.817361 1.286140 2.076732 3.596696
2025-10-26 0.242672 0.356444 0.529354 0.821545 1.324812 2.200699 3.950738
2025-11-02 0.232664 0.346978 0.524043 0.829946 1.370926 2.342124 4.358590
2025-11-09 0.217405 0.328457 0.503294 0.811162 1.368243 2.395898 4.603390
2025-11-16 0.209357 0.320941 0.499868 0.821818 1.419825 2.558021 5.101648
2025-11-23 0.199017 0.308970 0.488113 0.816604 1.440990 2.662879 5.492386
2025-11-30 0.191154 0.300543 0.481649 0.820147 1.478827 2.805110 5.991733
2025-12-07 0.181188 0.287964 0.467180 0.807691 1.483864 2.879599 6.343707
2025-12-14 0.172712 0.277415 0.455536 0.799509 1.496475 2.971372 6.754134
2025-12-21 0.161278 0.261148 0.432805 0.768447 1.459192 2.949402 6.870886
2025-12-28 0.157916 0.258756 0.434729 0.785213 1.523397 3.162699 7.647558
2026-01-04 0.154096 0.255314 0.434480 0.797587 1.579355 3.364195 8.434541
2026-01-11 0.149480 0.250180 0.430758 0.802608 1.619601 3.533482 9.166107
2026-01-18 0.145019 0.245077 0.426761 0.806703 1.658092 3.703459 9.937443